No One Cares About Bank of America

By iamned - Last updated: Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Last night the US stock futures were lower on reports that Bank of America needed more money than anticipated following the so called ’stress test’. The total came to $35 billion. Instinctively I knew this would not be a big deal because when the fed is printing trillions, an additional $35 billion is peanuts. $35 billion is just four percent of the $700+ billion Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. It’s not like the fed has their hands tied. If Bank of America needs another $35 billion they WILL get it. And presto-problem fixed!

Last night doom and gloomers were quivering with excitement that this story would be the catalyst for a major selloff, but instead it was merely a bump in the road. Poor losers actually thought this would be the next shoe to drop.

I took this screenshot at around 8:00 PM last night, which shows the futures being lower. I knew the selling would only be temporary, and lo and behold it was. When you’re the third wisest human in the world you eventually get used to being right all of the time. I know how the stock market works.

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Since I’m feeling felicitous cue the chill-out music

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The Short Trade is Over

By iamned - Last updated: Tuesday, May 5, 2009

The short trade is over. Those who made their profits between 2007-2008 are covering at a profit, while dumb money is still holding out for another ’shoe to drop’. They still believe that Goldman Sachs is orchestrating some scheme to prop the up the market, despite huge earnings from unrelated companies like RIMM, GOOG, Amazon.com, and AAPL.

Poor fools are gonna lose all their money because they refuse to accept the fake financial crisis was ‘fixed’ by printing a trillion dollars (which won’t cost tax payers a penny, contrary to myth). The doom and gloom is over. Phones ringing off the hook from clients scrambling to reenter the market. Buy orders flooding the system; terminal displays peppered with green flickering arrows and boxes.

Here is how the S&P 500 will retest 1,500 within 2-3 years (screenshots were taken 2 weeks ago when the S&P was 35 points lower)

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So called ‘lessons’ have been relinquished. Weren’t we supposed to learn something from the media generated crisis? The only ‘lesson’ to be learned is that humans cannot and will not learn lessons. Greed is retuning with a vengeance.

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Thanking my Readers

By iamned - Last updated: Monday, May 4, 2009

After checking my stats I see that I have about 40-60 daily repeat visitors to iamned.com. I would like to thank you guys for designating a tiny sliver of your day to making iamned.com a part of your life. I try to present a alternative, unorthodox, albeit unpopular view of economics and the stock market because the vast majority of economics and stock market blogs are overwhelmingly bearish, or redundant. Another blog I recommend that provides an alternative, bullish viewpoint is the Good News Economist

Another great day for stocks…the flu pandemic was a dud. Stress tests weren’t stressful. No one cares about Chrysler bankruptcy. Why am I right? Because I am the third wisest human in the world. I know how stocks, economics, and finance works.

Babak from seeking alpha wrote a great article about how there is tons of cash in conservative, money market funds

He writes

A build up of cash is normal in a bear market but before we can transition to a bull market it needs to be put to work. As people become convinced that the worst is behind us, they start to take more risk and begin to put their cash into the market. So unfortunately, just noticing a massive pile of cash doesn?t really help us unless we can somehow pinpoint when and with what intensity this billowing mass of liquidity will start to be invested in the stock market.

I concur. As risk returns retail investors & funds will seek riskier assets, hence driving up stocks. Conversely, the dollar will fall.

What is next? Nothing. The economy will take care of itself thanks to the efforts of Obama, Geithner, and Bernanke. Just keep buying the dips or ride this rally. The path of least resistance is the past to prosperity. I implore these pessimists who are shorting or sitting on the sidelines to just try going long and see how you like it.

And have fun, most of all.

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The Dawn of a New Era

By iamned - Last updated: Monday, May 4, 2009

Everything you thought you learned in the past eighteen months regarding this fake financial crisis and mental recession; throw it out the window. Recycle the newspaper. Turn off the TV. Cancel your subscription to the Economist or Barrons. The last thing you need is more minutia from supposedly reputable financial publications clouding your judgment when I know the path to prosperity.

A new bullish era is here-an era of perpetual upside and continuum of the world order that may last for many years, and possibly decades.

That’s why you buy all the dips. That why you buy smartist, globalist stocks like Google, Apple, Mastercard, Potash, and Research in Motion.

As the third wisest human in the world, I know how economics and fiance works. I know how stocks work. You can inflate your way to prosperity. A widening wealth gap, exorbitant bonuses, job loss, credit card and deficit spending is paradoxically bullish and is a sign of economic progress.

How are these deficits sustainable? Easy. As long as wages and personal net worth continue to rise, high consumer debt is sustainable. The charts below indicate how consumer spending, wages, household debt, and net worth have all risen in lockstep, along with with the stock market and economy.

Consumer Consumption

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Personal Income:

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Consumer Credit:

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Stock Market & Nominal GDP:

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The US economy is diven by consumption. Unlike in japan or Germany as long as consumers continue to max out their credit cards and don;t save money the US economy will grow and this stock market recovery will be V shaped. The same applies to Brazil and Mexico which are also very consumerist.

Increased consumption leads to increased production, and increased wages and more economic growth. Increased wages leads to more debt and consumption and thus the cycle continues.

If de-leveraging is enforced by regulation the economy will shrink, the stock market will fall, and the type 1 transition to a society run by cyborg or post-human information overlords in accordance to the blueprints of The Creators, will be delayed.

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